Monday 3 November 2008

Philadelphia II - swing states

I've been planning to make some predictions about which way each of the swing states will go.

RCP has the following states as toss-ups at present: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio and Virginia (10 states).

The leaning or toss-up states according to FiveThirtyEight.com are: Florida, Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina, North Dakota and Ohio (6 states).

These are the ones to watch tomorrow. They all voted for Bush in 2004.

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